Month: November 2014
i went 7 for 10 last week leading up to happy turkey day and happy what used to be rivalry weekend as well. though over the years rivalry weekend has become somewhat diluted with some rivalries being played other weeks of the year. yeah, there’s still a number of the games left to be savored with leftover thanksgiving goodies but it isn’t quite the same as in the old days. but then what is? exactly. none the less, rivalry weekend rolls into town with turkey and stuffing, over eating, drinking and the dreaded relatives this long holiday weekend. at any rate, it’s my favorite weekend of the year.
the 7 for 10 put my over all at 70 for 130 or 10 games over .500 something i’m relieved to finally see. my best picks last week were arizona, minnesota and my personal fave, oklahoma st. all that being said, remember this is for entertainment purposes only. don’t use anything bandied about here and take it to sin city or your local branch of sin city to use as some sort of betting edge. it would be insane. do not do it. you aren’t that stupid now, are you?
rock ‘n’ roll.
11-27 tcu @ texas. tcu favored by 6.5 points. turkey day rolls out with what used to be a pretty good game. this year? meh. though i’d watch this game rather than a pro game. just sayin’. tcu needs kansas st to put down baylor for them to have any shot at the BIG 12 title and a big dance card handed to them. but that may not even seal the deal. the longhorns have been all over the map this season on their train to nowhere. even though it’s a home game for them things probably won’t change much for the longhorns. although the lack of points reflects the rivalry. tcu rolls. take tcu to win and cover.
11-27 lsu @ texas a&m. lsu favored by 2.5 points. the tigers are coming off a two game losing streak. the aggies, as predicted here, finally ran into their real schedule. to be fair, they did out last auburn a couple of weeks ago. probably a pretty good game with the aggies lucky it’s a homer with the points doing another reflection thingy. i’m taking the aggies here to at least cover the points. yeah, i know.
11-28 arizona st @ arizona. no line as of publication. it’s a short busy week and i’m not sitting around waiting for them to figure it out. two thirds of the PAC south title contenders mix it up in tucson on friday at the same time as the other third hits the turf in tree country. this game is on FOX the other on ABC. even under normal circumstances this has always been a good game. this year with a shot at the title and a chance for a go at the ducks makes this game a must watch. yes, both teams lost to ucla so they need the bruins to go belly up. flip a coin. although home turf seals it for the wildcats. take arizona for the win.
11-28 stanford @ ucla. ucla favored by 4.5 points. the PAC 12 south title up for grabs and the bruins at home, the site of their only losses this year. stanford with a shot at playing spoiler and parlaying that into perhaps a decent bowl bid. what does it all mean? the bruins win and cover. take them. and stay off the 210 freeway anywhere near pasadena.
11-29 miss st @ ole miss. miss st favored by 1 point. of the two, miss st seems to be the only team with any steam and desire left in them this year. maybe the talk of ole miss’ coach freeze heading to florida has put the kids in the dumps. sort of like the kids learning mom and dad are heading for a split. i say that’s fine let him go and bring back coach ed o for a shot of redemption. yuup, works for me. i digress. take miss st for the win and very short cover.
11-29 oregon @ oregon st. oregon favored by 20 points. the civil war game. the beaves have had a dismal season with the exception of beating arizona st at home which is huge. at least in my book. on the other hand, the ducks need this to remain a temporary pick for the playoffs and then a win next week to seal the deal. if state can find what they had on 11-15 again this will indeed be more than their bowl game for the year. never count coach riley out. take oregon st to cover the points.
11-29 notre dame @ usc. usc favored by 7 points. the domers ride a three game losing streak into lotus land for one of the oldest rivalry games going. usc needs the win for a better shot at a bowl bid and to derail the trees and their bid. yes, a bit convoluted but what else is new? at least it’s a home game for the men of troy and another 12:30 game time. which means fresh batteries for the TV remote might be a good idea for this saturday. plus, more clogged freeways in the metro area. take usc to win and cover. FIGHT ON!!!
11-29 minnesota @ wisconsin. wisconsin favored by 13 points. hopefully, this game gets some TV time. just sayin’. the badgers mailed in their win over iowa last week. the gophers played their hearts out in their win against nebraska. did they leave their game in lincoln? i like both teams. however, the short break hurts the gophers more. take wisconsin to win and cover.
11-29 utah st @ boise st. boise st favored by 9.5 points. if the broncos pull this one out they play in the MW championship. simple as that. they’ll probably win that game then get hosed like in the old BCS days. Times have changed??? i’m rushing things a bit. take boise st to win and cover.
11-29 auburn @ alabama. alabama favored by 9.5 points. pretty much everyone in the SEC took a bye last week and scheduled a game which should be classified as an exhibition game and mean nothing in the final standings. yeah, like that’s going to happen. what should happen is the practice of the SEC playing practice games in late november needs to end. the problem being the SEC is too damned arrogant for the practice to go away without some sort of king hell fight going down. the NCAA doesn’t have the stomach for it or for much else or so it seems. the game? i like auburn to at least get inside the points. take auburn.
enjoy your rivalry weekend and the last college football week of the year where it’s just about everybody’s final regular season game for 2014. next week we get a handful of leftover games and a few league championship match-ups. then the usual chaos will ensue. have a happy thanksgiving! be safe. be semi sane.
after suffering a bout of some sort of lower GI and occasional upper GI thing since saturday evening i’ve finally made it here for this weeks picks. better late than never. i haven’t been that sick since probably my high school or college days. it was a sort of a never ending colonoscopy prep, if you get my drift. at any rate, i’ll be keeping things a bit more simple this week.
ok. so, last week i tailed off some and went 4 for 10. had a couple of my picks who won covered the points things would have been much better. i had two standout picks however with, utah and oregon st. my over all now sits at 63 for 120. nothing stellar.
remember this is for entertainment purposes only. using anything here as any sort of betting advise would be pretty stupid on numerous levels. do not do it.
rock ‘n’ roll.
11-21 air force @ san diego st. san diego st favored by 4.5 points. i honestly don’t get the spread here. the falcons are a much better team. i’ve even checked the odds a couple of times. someone obviously knows something i don’t. not an uncommon thing. be that as it may i’m taking the falcons to at least get inside the spread. maybe even win.
11-22 colorado @ oregon. no line. colorado is abysmal as ever. if colorado wins it will be a sign of the apocalypse so strap yourself in. take oregon for the win. QUACK QUACK!!!
11-22 usc @ ucla. ucla favored by 3.5 points. a crosstown rivalry that most of us here in lala land patiently wait for every year. regardless of how good or bad either school is in any given year pretty much goes out the window for this game. plus, the fact that calls get missed or manufactured out of thin air or some other sort of strangeness goes down effecting the outcome of the game. it just seems to be part of what a rivalry shootout is all about. the bruins are on a 4 or 5 game roll here. Pac south title on the line for the trojans, at least for this week. a close call to be sure. i’ve been using a usc keck hospital pen for my notebook this week so, ipso facto, take the trojans. FIGHT ON!!!
11-22 arizona @ utah. utah favored by 4 points. both schools coming off squeaker wins last week. utah with the home field 3 plus one. another close call. take arizona to beat the points or win.
11-22 minnesota @ nebraska. nebraska favored by 10.5 points. two rushing power houses crack heads in what should be a fun game to watch. minnesota doesn’t get much respect though i like them. out on a limb here but take the gophers to get inside the spread and perhaps even win.
11-22 washington st @ arizona st. arizona st favored by 16 points. i just don’t see pirate mike’s cougars with any shot at all here against the sun devils. yes, i’ve been wrong before. none the less, take arizona st for the win and cover.
11-22 ole miss @ arkansas. ole miss favored by 13.5 points. despite the fact ole miss went off road and did a preseason road kill thumping last week i still like them here. although arkansas may surprise. it wouldn’t be a first. take ole miss for the win and cover.
11-22 western carolina @ alabama. no line. that is to be expected with this freak show. at least the ducks game is a conference game. for at least the last four years and probably even longer the tide has scheduled some form of road kill for this week. this year it’s western carolina. lovely. i’m sure coach satan has some semi weird sort of explanation for doing this every year. however, the bottom line is for it’s all about the wins. quality be damned. because if you just look at the numbers you’re missing the fact that the tide played some Div ll school in week 13. plus, a couple the first few weeks of the season. it’s bad enough doing it the first couple of weeks of the season and shrugging it off, but this time of the year smacks at an arrogance of epic proportions. and is one of the reasons i’ve fallen off the tides wagon. no line? take the tide.
11-22 oklahoma st @ baylor. baylor favored by 27.5 points. a bundle of points for sure and i’m thinking the cowboys are looking at this game as a bowl game and their shot at redemption for a train wreck of a season. they have it in them. they may not win but i think they will at least get inside the points. take oklahoma st.
11-22 boise at @ wyoming. boise st favored by 12 points. a night game in wyoming the end of november. ouch. things could go off the rails for either team at any point. boise st needs the win. take the broncos to win and cover.
with only a few weeks left in the regular season enjoy your weekend of college ball. be safe. be semi sane.
going back to using the point spread again after my prolonged vacation didn’t put a damper on picks for week 11. i went 7 for 10. keeping me above .500 with room to spare. my best pick of the week was texas a&m to beat the spread which they did with room to spare and took the win as well. maybe they aren’t that bad after all. at any rate, my overall now sits at, 59 for 110. my average continues its up swing for three straight weeks. finally.
the CFP still has a murky mess on it’s hands and maybe things will work out by december. or maybe not. thing is, will everyone be happy? no, probably not.
just remember this particular murky mess is for entertainment purposes only. using anything here as some sort of advantage with legal or otherwise betting adventures would be really really stupid. yes, i occasionally hit some high notes. be that is it may, do not do it. leave your wallet where it belongs. in your pocket and nobody gets hurt.
the points used here are what i use to determine my wins and losses for the week. it matters not if they change up or down for my purposes.
rock ‘n’ roll.
11-13 cal @ usc. usc favored by 14.5 points. after a week off the trojans get cal at home on thursday night right smack in the middle of rush hour traffic. a perhaps not so brilliant scheduling move on someones part to make an already nasty drive home even worse with the addition of a game at the coliseum. stunningly stupid to those on the freeways going home or going to the game. though it does give the the trojans several extra days to prepare for the bruins on nov 22. yeah, there is that. cal is on a three game losing streak which for them and the time of year is nothing new. the trojans need a win here and on the 22nd then have some other things go down and there will be a log jam for the PAC south title. fun times for sure. i digress. take usc for the win and cover. FIGHT ON!!!
11-15 clemson @ georgia tech. clemson favored by 3 points. the tigers didn’t blow wake forest out of the water last week and they probably should have. though they do have the better half of the ACC schedule going for them. georgia tech plays in the crappy half. take clemson for the win and cover.
11-15 auburn @ georgia. georgia favored by 2.5 points. the bulldogs whipped up on kentucky on the road last week. while the tigers are still wondering what the hell happened when a&m came a calling. i’m sure it was some sort of anomaly, but it’s still a loss and one neither school can afford again. guess what? one of them probably sinks out of the CFP for sure this weekend. or maybe not. the dice haven’t stopped tumbling just yet. i’m taking auburn for the win or at least get inside the slim margin of points.
11-15 nebraska @ wisconsin. wisconsin favored by 6 points. i like the cornhuskers at home and their schedule so far this year looks somewhat better on paper than the badgers’ looks. though neither school seems to impress some wags and some of the talking heads. me? they’re probably both better than georgia tech. i like the badgers at home for this one. take wisconsin to win or cover.
11-15 miss st @ alabama. alabama favored by 7 points. it’s put up or shut up for the bulldogs this week. simple as that. the tide had their hands full with lsu last week in their usual defensive snore fest when the two of them tango. bama at home with a statement to be made should be very hard to beat. take the tide for the win and cover.
11-15 utah @ stanford. stanford favored by 7.5 points. the utes and the trees have pretty much had their tickets punched for the season. their final three games are for pride and the hope for some sort of decent bowling bid. whoever wins this one may put and end to either of those for the loser. the ducks clubbed both squads into submission. it’s another one of those who looks best on paper things. for my money i like the utes. all that being said, if the utah players have no clue where the end zone is even when it’s color coded for them, they deserve what ever happens. the undercurrent of redemption probably runs deep in utah this week. would have, could have and should have running a close second. take utah to at least get inside the points.
11-15 pitt @ n. carolina. n. carolina favored by 2 points. both schools with identical records. the only difference being the tar heels will be down for the count for many years to come. that is if the ever useless NCAA does what they pay their people to do. like look the other way? take extra long 3 martini lunches? naps on the veranda? more martinis along with kobe beef sliders then the chauffeur takes them home? my guess is, sometime into the next century we’ll find out what the NCAA intends to do about the tar heels and their academic issues, stupidity and general insanity. in the end probably nothing. but i’ve been surprised before. the game at hand? take pitt for the win.
11-15 iowa @ illinois. iowa favored by 5.5 points. another meaningless game, but one that gives me the opportunity to avoid another SEC match-up and florida st. however, this one is for my late pops. born in iowa but he spent plenty of time on his uncle’s farm up in illinois. dad was known to stash a live turkey in his carry on bag on the train home for thanksgiving dinner in iowa. take iowa for the win and cover.
11-15 san diego st @ boise st. boise st favored by 14 points. this might be a good game however, see above. both schools are in the better half of the mountain west. the aztecs need one more win for a shot at bowling for dollars in december. the broncos are already in that position. boise st at home is a tough nut to crack and they are a seriously better team on paper than the aztecs. take boise st to win and cover the spread.
11-15 arizona st @ oregon st. arizona st favored by 9.5 points. the poor beaves are on a four game losing streak along with meeting the surging sun devils at home this week. a potential train wreck in the making for coach riley. or the opportunity to play big time spoiler here and again in two weeks. although i suppose oregon st could pull off some sort of miraculous biblical type thing and actually win the game. or maybe at least get inside the points. yes, the beaves finally get some satisfaction and get inside the points for what will be a nail biter. take them.
fall seems to be finally making a sort of hesitant appearance, or what passes for it these days, here in the land of the lotus. anyway, enjoy your weekend and the games. be safe. be semi sane.
things continue to look up, as week 10 saw me going 8 for 10 again. two weeks in a row. sweet. hopefully, there’s another one waiting to happen in the wings. my over all now sits at 52 for 100 marking the first time this year i’ve been over the 50% mark. yes, nothing really news worthy but improving. now, if it could at least just stay there or make an other improvement this week.
the CFP or whatever it is has come up with their very own top 25 list. the question begs and begs…why? are they trying to convince folks they are actually hard at work? more like hard at busy work. you know like when the boss rolls through you have a broom in your hand or you’re at your desk pretending to be working on paperwork or something. we’ve all done it. the ‘committee’ is too. seems like the more things change the more they stay the same.
i’m back to using point spreads again this week. the long vacation is over and things are finally back to normal around these parts. always remember this is for entertainment purposes only. using anything here to gain some sort of insider info to use at your local betting parlor or out in the glitz of the nevada desert would be supremely stupid on your part. do not do it. keep your wallet where it belongs. in your pocket and nobody gets hurt.
the spreads used here are what i use to determine my wins and losses for the week. the odds may change but what’s here is what i use. yeah, there have been times if i’d changed things a day or so before the game things might would been different. point being, i have a life.
rock ‘n’ roll.
11-7 utah st @ wyoming. utah st favored by 6 points. yes, there might be a couple of other games i could have put on this weeks schedule. yes, both teams have a semi sort of dismal record going for them. that’s one reason i picked this game. plus, i like both schools. sue me. on paper the aggies have a distinct edge.
take utah st to win and cover the spread.
11-8 baylor @ oklahoma. oklahoma favored by 4.5 points. a pretty good game. baylor can score some points but they seem to play much better at home. the sooners do well on the road and at home. both have similar records with baylor having a one game advantage. i have to take the sooners at home to win and cover the points.
11-8 kansas st @ tcu. tcu favored by 5 points. this is one of my favorite games of the weekend. possibly one of those scoreboard blow outs. tcu has the paper edge. however, i’m taking kansas st to at least get inside the points.
11-8 notre dame @ arizona st. arizona st favored by 1.5 point. another weekend favorite. the domers travel to the desert southwest for an afternoon in the sun and possibly some heat. take the sun devils to win and cover.
11-8 texas a&m @ auburn. auburn favored by 21.5 ponts. auburn sunk ole miss right out of the playoffs last week. as i predicted weeks ago the aggies schedule would sink them once they hit quality teams and it has.
21.5 is a lot of points for this time of year. for pride only the aggies get inside the spread. take a&m.
11-8 air force @ unlv. air force favored by 6 points. another game that makes no difference other than the falcons need to keep winning in order to go bowling later in the year. and their offense, at times, is worth watching. unlv is dreadful this year. take air force to win and cover the points.
11-8 ucla @ washington. ucla favored by 4 points. as a PAC(8)(10)12 homer this is my favorite game of the weekend. the huskies are doing OK but didn’t play that well in a win against hapless colorado last week. the bruins held on for the win in a rare sort of defensive game for the PAC 12 against arizona at home. a good game. take the bruins to win and cover.
11-8 ohio st @ michigan st. michigan st favored by 3.5 points. the Big Ten(14) game of the year. for sure the easts game of the year. a loss drops one of them out of the CFP or would seem so. i heard some one say no one wants to play the spartans this year. it might be true. michigan st at home on a good year for them you have to take them to win and cover the spread.
11-8 alabama @ lsu. alabama favored by 6 points. the tide travels into bayou country this week for what hopefully won’t be a defensive slug fest. even though the tigers are playing well and this is a home game i have to take the tide to roll on and win or cover the spread.
11-8 oregon @ utah. oregon favored by 9.5 points. possibly a very high octane game. the ducks make the short trip to provo where they will hopefully make short work of the utes in their seemingly last game against a seemingly high quality opponent. december 5th being the exception. and then there’s the civil war game where anything can happen. the utes won against usc and ucla earlier in the year. can they do it again? the ducks need this one and with mariota on a high i’m taking the ducks to win and cover the points. QUACK QUACK!!!
another fine week for college ball. if you close your eyes and breathe deep you can almost smell the roasted turkey and stuffing in the air. enjoy your weekend. be safe. be semi sane.