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2012 college football picks & predictions week 12

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the games last week made for an interesting weekend of college football, to say the least. the weather here didn’t pan out as hoped but clear and vaguely cold still worked for the beef bourguinon and mashed potatoes at dinner on saturday. as for my picks, i was tepid once again just winning all of my middle of the pack games. if i had stayed with my original first two picks i would have ended up on a high note. as it was i went 5 for 10 again. making my over all standings for the season, 53 for 110. i guess if i wasn’t chomping at the bit to get back to las vegas this coming sunday for thanksgiving week i’d be doing better.

speaking of doing better, usc fought off the early doldrums to beat arizona st. thus perhaps staving off lane kiffen’s head ending up on a platter. well, at least for another week. also, the tide’s undefeated run came to a screeching halt at home. one i almost called. at any rate, this insanity is for entertainment purposes only. it’s meant for fun. taking anything from here and using it to place any sort of bet would be totally stupid on your part. leave your wallet where in belongs, in your pocket, and no one gets hurt. taking care of your family comes first.

the point spreads used here are what i use to determine my wins and losses for the week. they may change by game time. it matters not. this is what i go by.

happy veterans day to all of my brothers and sisters in arms, living and dead, thanks for doing what you did or are doing right now. those who never served don’t have a clue as to our many sacrifices. all gave some. some gave all.

rock ‘n’ roll.

11/17 rutgers @ cincinnati. rutgers favored by 6.5 points. neither school has played the best schedule. although that’s generally the case with the lower tiered FBS schools. however, rutgers is once again playing some good football. and if only for the memory of one of our most underrated comedic minds, ozzie nelson, a rutgers alum, i picked this game. it might be a good one. take rutgers to win and cover the points.

11/17 northwestern @ michigan st. michigan st favored by 6.5 points. a good game and probably too bad northwestern lost to big blue last week or this game would be of more importance. just another indication of last weekends roller coaster ride. i’m actually sort of surprised the spartans are favored here as their home record isn’t very good. so, i’m taking northwestern to get inside the spread and maybe win.

11/17 alabama @ western carolina. no line. of course there’s no line because this is ridiculous. this game is a travesty. the former number one team in the land playing FCS powerhouse michelin tire changing arts and taxidermy state the week before thanksgiving. if they hadn’t fallen from grace after their loss to the aggies last week they should be run from the rankings this week for playing these guys this time of year. i don’t get it, but thankfully bama is out of the BCS picture at least for the time being. hold your nose if you dare to watch this one, kids. if the tide doesn’t throttle the jack handles it will be the biggest upset in the history of college football. hence, it’s my lock of the week. take bama to win.

11/17 stanford @ oregon. oregon favored by 21.5 points. a bunch of points. for those who don’t know why i call oregon ‘my beloved ducks’, i guess i should re-tell the tale. the ducks played ohio st in the rose bowl in 1958. ohio st was the heavy favorite but the buckeyes only won by 3 points, 10-7. i was 9 and a half years old at the time. for some reason while watching the game on TV they became ‘my’ team that new years day long ago and they have been ever since through thick and thin. shortly there after the trojans were also added to that very short list. so, there you have it. say what you want but the two biggest college games this week are pac 12 games. this one and usc/ucla. the trees play better at home which bears witness to the trees beating the beavs last week. thankfully, however, they didn’t cover the spread. my beloved ducks are seemingly on a roll toward the big dance game this year. the last time they lost to the trees was back in 09. stanford probably got lucky against the beavs last week. the ducks are a much better team. ergo, take the ducks to win and cover the spread at home in autzen. QUACK QUACK!!

11/17 california @ oregon st. oregon st favored by 21.5 points. the cal bears are more than likely in for it again this week as they are one of the crappier teams in the pac 12 this year. as an also ran team playing on the road against a very good team playing at home you can, hopefully, count on a lopsided win by the beavs in a tune-up game before the civil war game next week. take oregon st to win and cover the hefty spread.

11/17 usc @ ucla. usc favored by 4 points. crosstown rivalry weekend here in lotus land. this game means a lot as most of the kids at both schools more than likely grew up playing one another from pee wee days up thru high school. it’s all about bragging rights for the coming year in the city of lost angels. this one is the other one to watch for the week. with the bruins playing well again this year and the trojans up and down deflating hopes or dashing them you can’t really predict a winner here. lane kiffin needs to win this one if he wants to keep his job. this game and the next against the domers. this past week there’s been a few press pieces here and there about good old lane and his seemingly under handed tactics this year. the last one being the case of the under inflated balls against the ducks. lane was hired by mike ‘pendejo’ garrett the former athletic director and heisman winner. i’m sure the new guy, pat haden, might like to get rid of good old lane in order to put an end to the bad old days along with the new bad old days. just saying. he’ll have a case if the trojans drop this game and the next against the domers. that along with lane’s seemingly untoward actions this year will make it easy for pat. a close game but eventually the trojans pull it out. take usc to win and cover. FIGHT ON!!!

11/17 wake forest @ notre dame. notre dame favored by 24 points. within sight of the golden dome touchdown jesus is pretty much unstoppable. even if they are playing like the trojans on any given week. wake forest has been thumped on by every decent FBS team they’ve played this year. they get thumped on again this week as the irish tune up for the trojans on the 24th. take the irish to win and cover the points.

11/17 minnesota @ nebraska. nebraska favored by 18.5 points. the golden gophers started off the year like gangbusters. then they hit their big 10 league schedule. oops. the cornhuskers need this game for bowling purposes. perhaps the rose bowl or better if they win out the rest of the way. unbeaten at home the cornhuskers should remain that way after this game. take nebraska to win and cover.

11/17 texas tech @ oklahoma st. oklahoma st favored by 11 points. another good football game. oklahoma st would like nothing more than to spoil the red raiders season. they get a shot at it this week. home field. home crowd. take the cowboys to win and cover the points.

11/17 kansas st @ baylor. kansas st favored by 11 points. this game is here only because the wildcats are still undefeated. they should still be this coming sunday morning. this game, if you ask me, will be all about style points and staying the course to an undefeated season. then it will be up to the BCS computers, harry potter, swami vishnu, and drunken sports writers everywhere. take kansas st to win and cover the spread. .

happy veterans day. enjoy your week. as always, seared red meat and red wine pair well with college football saturdays. next week is thanksgiving and rivalry weekend. one of the better weeks of the year. plus, the wife and i will be in las vegas for five nights so next week this will be coming to you from somewhere high atop the strip. sweet. be safe. be semi sane.

jmh

2012 college football picks & predictions week 11

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a much better weekend than the last but things still need to swing my way a bit more. an average 5 for 10 for the week making my over all, 48 for 100. semi tepid to be sure. perhaps this week will turn things around. one thing for certain, boise st played themselves out of any shot at some sort of big dance type bowl game. better luck next year broncos. as for some of the other teams more on them later in my picks & predictions.

this mess is for entertainment purposes only. using anything dished out here and taking it to your local bookie and/or casino, legal or otherwise, and placing some sort of a wager would be supremely stupid if not insane on your part. leave your wallet where it belongs, in your pocket, and no one gets hurt. taking care of your family comes first.

the point spreads listed here are what i base my win loss record for the week. if the points change before game time, oh well. they are what they are. onward.

rock ‘n’ roll.

11/10 notre dame @ boston college. notre dame favored by 18.5 points. if there is a sloppier 9-0 team than the golden domers i need someone to point them out to me. ok. usc at times. both head coaches seem to be a deer in the headlights at all the wrong times. given the fact the irish should have waltzed all over pitt last week at home and didn’t says volumes about this weeks trip into boston and their annual big game with the other big time catholic school. i’m assuming the city of boston will have it together after sandy blew thru the east coast. the lady was a tramp. at any rate, if the domers play like they did last week they will be in for it. the question being, can the touchdown jesus coaching staff get it together against the eagles? granted, boston college is embarrassing this season but then so is/was pitt. make no mistake, this is boston colleges biggest game of the year. they will come to play and half the time the domers don’t play well on the road. even when they win. enough points here for the eagles to get inside of if they are playing well. i think they will be ready. take boston college to get inside the spread.

11/10 kansas st @ tcu. no line. probably a pretty good game. tcu has been all over the map this year and this game is their shot at some sort of respectability for the season. with respect to kansas st and starting qb klein’s injury, which sounds to me like a concussion and others as well, make this decision a difficult one. no line pretty much represents that quandary. tcu home field advantage and a kansas st heisman candidate that at this point early in the week may not play. even if klein plays another solid hit could put him back on the bench. that’s something the tcu defense is very capable of doing. all things considered take tcu to win.

11/10 texas a&m @ alabama. alabama favored by 13.5. the aggies beat up on mississippi st last week. the tide barely held on for their win against lsu. alabama is probably also lucky this is a home game for them. i would love it if the aggies beat up on the tide this saturday. someone needs to. please. if the game were in texas i’d take the aggies. it isn’t. take bama to win and cover.

11/10 mississippi st @ lsu. lsu favored by 14 points. sadly, miss st seems to be able to beat only non ranked teams or FCS schools this year. traveling to tiger country this week probably won’t change things either. take lsu to win and cover.

11/10 oregon @ california. oregon favored by 27.5. the cal bears actually beat ucla earlier this year. they also beat washington st and an FCS utah school as well. yawn. this week? no chance at beating my beloved ducks. the bears go 3 and 8 after this game with coach tedford one step closer to his exit interview. cold and rainy. perfect duck weather. take the ducks to win and cover the points. QUACK QUACK!!

11/10 arizona st @ usc. usc favored by 9.5 points. in losing the trojans showed some game against the ducks. plenty of points on the board in that losing effort at home. plus, coach lane seems to have gotten a handle on the penalty thing, at least for last week. arizona st on the other hand is not playing well at all this season. though they almost beat the bruins. the trojans need to win this one and all their remaining games to get a chance to play the ducks again on november 30 in the pac 12 championship game. a cold possibly rainy day here this saturday, well for a late fall socal saturday anyway. things could get interesting. take the trojans to win and cover the points. FIGHT ON!!

11/10 oregon st @ stanford. stanford favored by 5 points. the trees are unbeaten at home. which means this will be a very good game and one the beavs need very badly to remain in the pac 12 north hunt for number one. more cold and rain. take oregon st to at the very least get inside the spread.

11/10 w. virginia @ oklahoma st. oklahoma st favored by 7.5 points. w. virginia has lost their last 3 games. i don’t really see them turning things around this week on the road against the cowboys. both schools with identical records at 5-3. home court advantage the cowboys. take oklahoma st to win and cover.

11/10 ucla @ washington st. ucla favored by 15 points. the only 2 games the cougars have won this year were against teams worse than they are. though better things were expected with new coach mike ‘the pirate’ leach. maybe next year. if the bruins keep their head in the game and don’t look ahead to next weeks rivalry game against the trojans they should steamroll the cougars. rainy and cold. take the bruins to win and cover.

11/10 fresno st @ nevada. fresno favored by 2.5 point. let’s call this one a toss up. very interesting game here kids. one you probably shouldn’t over look with respect to how each school played san diego st. lots of points in both games and both of them very close. that being said, this one should be a shoot out. or at least that’s the hope. maybe some snow for the game. take nevada to get inside the meager points or win.

just a few waning weeks of the season left. enjoy your saturdays while you can. a bit of a change up, menu wise, for this saturday in honor of our first cold weather and hopefully some rain. beef bourguinon and red wine pair well with college football and seasonal weather. enjoy the games. be safe. be semi sane.

jmh

2012 college football picks & predictions week 10

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could things have gone any worse? probably. i guess i’m lucky to have come out of the weekend with my two lonely wins. very lonely wins. a wheels falling off sort of weekend for sure. a ghastly pre-halloween egging by the neighborhood kids. ok. so, 2 for 10 and dropping out of the 50% over all rating with a 43 for 90. i guess the less said about it the better. some very good math-ups coming this week. let’s get to them.

the information provided here is for entertainment purposes only. taking any information used here to your local or whatever gaming joint would be utterly stupid. last week would be a perfect example of that. do not do it. leave your money where it belongs, in your wallet, and in your pocket, and no one gets hurt.

the points used here are what i go by to determine my wins and losses for the week. the points may change by game times. it doesn’t matter to me.

rock ‘n’ roll.

11/3 texas a&m @ mississippi st. texas a&m favored by 7 points. the bulldogs didn’t fair well against alabama on the road last week. the aggies on the road clobbered auburn. ok. apples and oranges. though both schools are playing very well so far this year. texas a&m wins and covers the spread.

11/3 texas @ texas tech. texas tech favored by 7 points. despite the red raiders getting hammered by kansas st last week i think you can look for them to get back on track this week against the longhorns. texas is undefeated on the road. tech has only one loss at home against the sooners. a good game and probably a nail gnawer. take texas tech to win and cover the points.

11/3 oklahoma @ iowa st. oklahoma favored by 10.5 points. another sooners spoiler alert. two weeks in a row on the road and perhaps another oklahoma loss. the sooners may win but i’m taking iowa st to at least get inside the points.

11/3 pittsburgh @ notre dame. notre dame favored by 17 points. the golden domers go 9 and 0 this week after beating up on the panthers. yes, it’s as simple as that. take the domers to win and cover.

11/3 oregon @ usc. oregon favored by 7 points. if the trojans play anywhere near as badly as they did last week this one will be over by the end of the first quarter. the only thing you can say about their game against arizona is the coaching was atrocious. penalty after penalty killed whatever momentum they had and for my money that’s a coaching problem. it had nothing to do with the lack of depth on the defense for a change. or an offense that was clearly out of kilter with a few exceptions. adios, heisman and rose bowl. hello holiday bowl if they’re lucky. yeah, well that’s what’s on the horizon if the men of troy don’t get it together this week. my beloved ducks, on the other hand, are flying smoothly along so far. well out of range of the incoming shotgun pellets but not the BCS poll. although if the trojans of old show up this week at home, a place where they rarely lose, the ducks could be in trouble. this one is very tough pick for me. my beloved ducks and the trojans. had the trojans won last week instead of stinking up the field i’d probably go with them to upset oregon. take oregon to win and cover. QUACK QUACK!!!

11/3 alabama @ lsu. alabama favored by 10 points. hopefully, not a defensive snooze fest like last years first game between the two teams. bama faces it’s first really big test of the season. sorry michigan. i thought this would be pretty much a toss up. it isn’t. however, if lsu comes to play the tide may go out this week. plus the fact there’s the BCS bowl thing from last season as well. take lsu to at least get inside the spread and maybe win.

11/3 arizona @ ucla. no line no points. both teams coming off impressive wins. though the wildcats haven’t faired well on the road this year. a good day for lala landers to stay off the roads with usc and ucla both playing at home. take the bruins to win.

11/3 oklahoma st @ kansas st. kansas st favored by 8.5 points. if kansas st is going to lose a game this year it could be this weekend. the cowboys, like the cyclones, are a couple of my go to spoiler teams. i’m taking oklahoma st to at least make it closer than the 8.5 points. take them.

11/3 san diego st @ boise st. boise st favored by 14 points. the aztecs have a winning record but aren’t really playing very well against better programs and have lost more than they have won on the road. boise st needs to keep winning and hoping kansas st and notre dame start losing in order to make some big money bowl trip down the road. boise st rarely losses at home on the smurf turf which by the way is beginning to really show it’s age. time for the broncos to start thinking about sprucing the place up for their sojourn into the big east next year. or whenever it is. the aztecs make it a game the first half then fall by the wayside. take boise st to win and cover.

11/3 arizona st @ oregon st. oregon st favored by 5.5 points. sadly, the beavs got tripped up by the huskies last week. the sun devils lost a slug fest at home to the bruins on a last second field goal. this is potentially a very good game and one oregon st needs to win with stanford and the ducks on the horizon. thankfully, a home game for the beavers. take oregon st to win and cover.

enjoy your halloween week. as always, seared red meat and red wine pair well on college football saturday. be safe. be semi sane.

jmh

2012 college football picks & predictions week 9

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all things considered i probably should have stayed with my straight up picks instead of going back to using the point spreads for week 8. i suppose there is something to be said about being too busy to deal with the spreads. as it is i went 5 for 10, bringing my over all to a vaguely respectable 41 for 80. texas tech and kansas st being my best picks of the weekend. if a few other teams had scored a couple of more points i would have killed it, but then that’s why vegas is vegas. and every weekend seems to end up that way.

never forget that this thing is for entertainment purposes only. using anything here for anything other than a few laughs, at yours truly, would be a perfect example of insanity. do not do it. leave your money where it belongs, in your wallet, and nobody gets hurt. family, food, and rent are much more important.

the point spreads used here are what i use to determine my wins and losses for the week. some of the spreads may change by game times but it matters not.

rock ‘n’ roll.

10/25 clemson @ wake forest. clemson favored by 13 points. are the tigers in over their head this year? or are they really this good? their only loss was a decent showing against florida st. who was also their toughest opponent so far this season with s. carolina finishing the year for them. clemson doesn’t have the toughest schedule in the FBS this year that’s for sure. they can put some numbers on the board, but their defense can be a sieve. wake forest, on the other hand, should probably look at this game as a warm-up for the train wreck that awaits them week 11 with touchdown jesus in the shadows of the golden dome. thumping would be a mild word for that game. i veer and get ahead of myself. at any rate, an interesting way to start the football weekend. clemson wins and covers the spread.

10/26 cincinnati @ louisville. louisville favored by 4.5 points. well kids, it’s showdown time for the big kids in the big east. not the greatest of the FBS conferences but not the worst either. two decent programs that for the past few years have been well, decent enough. the biggest question being, will the cardinals remain undefeated after this one? probably. a good game to begin your saturday stuck to the couch. take louisville to win and cover the spread.

10/27 tennessee @ s. carolina. s. carolina favored by 14 points. the gamecocks disappointed last weekend by getting drubbed by florida. they are here again in order to see if the old ball coach can turn them around after starting the season on a big time roll. my feeling is he will. take s. carolina to win and cover the points.

10/27 colorado @ oregon. oregon favored by 45.5 points. the sad buffalos make what could amount to a walk down the green mile with their visit to autzen stadium this week. the ducks are smelling roses and/or the crystal football along with the blood of the buffalos. though they still need to beat the trojans twice and cross state rival oregon st for any of that to come true. well, save for the blood of the buffalos. a huge spread but if my beloved ducks want to keep making statements this season they’ll need to cover it and add some more points to it as well. take oregon to win and cover the points. QUACK QUACK!!!

10/27 texas tech @ kansas st. kansas st favored by 7.5 points. for my money one of the best games of the weekend. both schools have been impressive so far this year. can the red raiders pull off another road trip stunner again this week? stunner, in the fact they never gave up against tcu. they won’t this week as well. tech may not win but they will get inside the points. take texas tech.

10/27 usc @ arizona. usc favored by 6.5 points. after lasts weeks game matt barkley may have put himself back into the heisman hunt. though it’s a bit too early to tell if that’s the case. he’ll need to beat the ducks twice and finish the remainder of the season undefeated. along with some other folks falling by the wayside for that to happen. time tells. as for this week, he may have his hands full down in tucson. the points sort of reflect that. if the defense catches the plane, and hopefully they do, the trojans win and cover. take usc to win and cover. FIGHT ON!!

10/27 florida @ georgia. florida favored by 6 points. eastern division sec powerhouses meet. an interesting game though florida has played a somewhat better schedule. and for that reason take florida to win and cover the points.

10/27 notre dame @ oklahoma. oklahoma favored by 10 points. probably a pretty good game. oklahoma has whupped up on everyone with the exception of kansas st. the domers have played them all close with navy being their only rout. this is probably the domers stalingrad for the year with their waterloo coming the last game of the season against the trojans away from the dome. take the sooners to win and cover the spread.

10/27 mississippi st @ alabama. alabama favored by 23.5 points. neither school has played a tough schedule so far this year. if this game were a homer for the bulldogs things might go their way. make no mistake, this is mississippi state’s biggest game of the year. they have a shot at making the tide roll out. it’s too bad that probably isn’t going to happen. however, take mississippi to get inside the points.

10/27 oregon st @ washington. oregon st favored by 4 points. after beating stanford things have more or less fallen apart for the huskies. it’s also hard to figure why the beavs are only a 4 point favorite. though the huskies can spoil things on occasion. a good game and a nice nightcap. take oregon st to win and cover.

one more week in the books. the season is getting shorter and st nick will be here before you know it. as always, seared red meat and red wine pairs well with college football saturday. enjoy your week and the games. be safe. be semi sane.

jmh